The commercial real estate landscape in Canada is witnessing a significant shift, with developers increasingly turning their attention to purpose-built rental constructions. Re/Max Canada's 2024 Commercial Real Estate Report delves into the trends across 12 major Canadian markets during the first quarter of the year, revealing a notable emphasis on multi-family and industrial real estate in all cities examined.
The Federal Government's decision to waive the GST on new residential builds has spurred the construction of purpose-built rentals, which now dominate the focus in major urban centers. Additionally, there's been a rise in the development of student housing and seniors' residences. Moreover, landlords of malls and strip plazas are considering adding a residential component to their properties, indicating a growing trend towards mixed-use developments.
Despite these shifts, the efforts to boost residential construction still fall short of meeting the demand in most major markets, especially considering Canada's burgeoning population, which now exceeds 40 million.
The report also highlights the resilience of neighborhood retail, which continues to perform well despite the rise of e-commerce. This resilience is attributed to a shift towards service-focused stores rather than traditional retail outlets.
Furthermore, the hospitality industry has experienced a resurgence in many regions, while there is strong demand for industrial real estate across Canada. However, downtown office sectors continue to face challenges, with rising vacancy rates observed in almost all markets nationwide.
To address these challenges, conversions of office spaces are being explored to repurpose the real estate for other needs, including housing. While this strategy helps alleviate some excess space from the market, it's acknowledged as a complex process and not a comprehensive solution.
The report emphasizes the importance of Business Improvement Areas and municipal plans in revitalizing downtown areas and attracting foot traffic. Residential development is also seen as contributing to improving demand for retail and services in these core areas.
Looking ahead, various factors will influence future trends in the Canadian commercial real estate market, including economic performance, interest rates, incentives, development policies, and tax regulations. Overall, conditions and demand are expected to improve as 2024 progresses, driven by diverse market dynamics.